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Oct 7, 2019
10:04:08am
jreid191 All-American
Top 25 according to Strength of Record, Game Control, FPI, etc. (week 6)
I took the average ranks from the various ESPN Resume and FPI components and average them together to come up w/ a composite ranking of sorts. Components include Strength of Record, Adjusted W/L, Game Control, Average Win Probability, FPI, and Projected W/L. Here's the top 25 based on the average of those rankings:

1. Ohio St
2. Alabama
3. Georgia
4. Clemson
5. LSU
6. Oklahoma
7. Wisconsin
8. Penn St
9. Florida
10. Auburn
11. Baylor
12. Oregon
13. Notre Dame
14. SMU
15. Texas
16. Cincinnati
17. Utah
18. Iowa
19. Missouri
20. Boise St
21. Washington
22. Appalachian St
23. Memphis
24. Wake Forest
25. Michigan St

Based upon those rankings, the NY6 Bowl Game projections would be as follows:

Fiesta Bowl: 1 Ohio St vs 4 Clemson
Peach Bowl: 2 Alabama vs 3 Georgia

Rose Bowl: 7 Wisconsin vs 12 Oregon
Sugar Bowl: 5 LSU vs 6 Oklahoma
Orange Bowl: 8 Penn St vs 24 Wake Forest
Cotton Bowl: 9 Florida vs 14 SMU

BYU comes in at #68 currently. In looking at their schedule, their opponents are ranked as follows:

17. Utah (L)
20. Boise St
21. Washington (L)
38. @Toledo (L)
39. USC (W)
44. @Utah St
50. @San Diego St
79. Liberty
90. @Tennessee (W)
110. @South Florida
129. @UMass
FCS. Idaho St

Based upon who our wins and losses have been against relative to their ranks and being home/away, I'd expect BYU to have the following results in remaining games:

Likely Wins - Liberty, @South Florida, @UMass, Idaho St
Likely Loss - Boise State
Toss Ups - @Utah St, @San Diego St

I think that puts our "most likely" final record at 7-5, but going 6-6 or 8-4 wouldn't be surprises either (would lean towards 6-6 as more likely than 8-4 though). AAC teams rated the closest to us (meaning they'd provide us the most "competitive" bowl matchup) are Temple and Houston. Both are projected to finish around 7-5 or 6-6. I'd be happy w/ a Temple matchup as that's a team we haven't historically played and my SIL graduated from there adding a bit of added intrigue for me personally.
jreid191
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jreid191
Joined
Mar 8, 2003
Last login
May 7, 2024
Total posts
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