Top 25 according to Strength of Record, Game Control, FPI, etc. (week 7)
I took the average ranks from the various ESPN Resume and FPI components and average them together to come up w/ a composite ranking of sorts. Components include Strength of Record, Adjusted W/L, Game Control, Average Win Probability, FPI, and Projected W/L. Here's the top 25 based on the average of those rankings:
1. Alabama
2. Ohio St
3. LSU
4. Clemson
5. Wisconsin
6. Oklahoma
7. Penn St
8. Auburn
9. Oregon
10. Notre Dame
11. Georgia
12. Florida
13. Baylor
14. Utah
15. Boise St
16. Missouri
17. Cincinnati
18. Washington
19. Appalachian St
20. Minnesota
21. SMU
22. Michigan
23. Texas
24. UCF
25. Iowa
Based upon those rankings, the NY6 Bowl Game projections would be as follows:
Peach Bowl: 1 Alabama vs 4 Clemson
Fiesta Bowl: 2 Ohio St vs 3 LSU
Rose Bowl: 5 Wisconsin vs 9 Oregon
Sugar Bowl: 6 Oklahoma vs 8 Auburn
Orange Bowl: 7 Penn St vs 35 Wake Forest (Louisville, Pittsburgh and Virginia clock in at 36, 37, and 38 currently)
Cotton Bowl: 10 Notre Dame vs 15 Boise St
BYU comes in at #78 currently. In looking at their schedule, their opponents are ranked as follows:
14. Utah (L)
15. Boise St
18. Washington (L)
39. USC (W)
43. @San Diego St
44. @Utah St
68. @Toledo (L)
73. @Tennessee (W)
77. Liberty
95. @South Florida (L)
129. @UMass
FCS. Idaho St
Based upon who our wins and losses have been against relative to their ranks and being home/away, I'd expect BYU to have the following results in remaining games:
Likely Wins - Liberty, @UMass, Idaho St
Likely Losses - Boise State, @Utah St, @San Diego St
It's possible Liberty becomes a loss and also possible that SDSU or USU become wins, but based solely on how we've fared against our opponents at home and away so far this year that is the likely outcome. That'd put our ceiling at 7-5 and our floor at 4-8 with our "most likely" final record being 5-7. Pretty disappointing results given I thought us capable of winning 8 or 9 games coming into the season. If we did end up getting to 6 wins our likely bowl opponent would probably be Navy, Tulane, or Temple - all of whom are projected to finish the season at 8-4.