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Nov 10, 2019
10:17:03am
jreid191 All-American
Top 25 according to Strength of Record, Game Control, FPI, etc. (week 11)
I took the average ranks from the various ESPN Resume and FPI components and average them together to come up w/ a composite ranking of sorts. Components include Strength of Record, Adjusted W/L, Game Control, Average Win Probability, FPI, and Projected W/L. Here's the top 25 based on the average of those rankings:

1. Ohio St (9-0)
2. LSU (9-0)
3. Clemson (10-0)
4. Alabama (8-1)
5. Penn St (8-1)
6. Oregon (8-1)
7. Oklahoma (8-1)
8. Georgia (8-1)
9. Minnesota (9-0
10. Utah (8-1)
11. Baylor (9-0)
12. Auburn (7-2)
13. Wisconsin (7-2)
14. Florida (8-2)
15. Michigan (7-2)
16. Notre Dame (7-2)
17. Cincinnati (8-1)
18. Appalachian St (8-1)
19. Navy (7-1)
20. SMU (9-1)
21. Memphis (8-1)
22. Iowa (6-3)
23. Washington (6-4)
24. Oklahoma St (6-3)
25. Kansas St (6-3)

Based upon those rankings, the NY6 Bowl Game projections would be as follows:

Fiesta Bowl: 1 Ohio St vs 4 Alabama
Peach Bowl: 2 LSU vs 3 Clemson

Rose Bowl: 5 Penn St vs 6 Oregon
Sugar Bowl: 7 Oklahoma vs 8 Georgia
Orange Bowl: 9 Minnesota vs 33 Virginia
Cotton Bowl: 10 Utah vs 17 Cincinnati

Some might be surprised to see Penn St in the top 5 after their loss this last week, but that just show how much separation HAD been between the top 5 and the rest of the teams. Oregon and/or Oklahoma are in prime position to move up into the top 4 should either win out and win their conference championship, but neither are there quite yet. Minnesota jumps into the top 10 with their big win over Penn St.

BYU comes in at #46 currently (up from #51 last week). In looking at their schedule, their opponents are ranked as follows:

10. Utah (L)
23. Washington (L)
28. Boise St (W)
34. USC (W)
41. @Tennessee (W)
50. @San Diego St
64. @Utah St (W)
72. @Toledo (L)
84. Liberty (W)
98. @South Florida (L)
129. @UMass
FCS. Idaho St

Based upon who our wins and losses have been against relative to their ranks and being home/away, I'd expect BYU to have the following results in remaining games:

Likely Wins - @UMass, Idaho St
Toss-up - @San Diego St

As of right now w/ how the teams are trending I would probably even put SDSU as a slight lean in BYU's favor, but still consider it more of a toss-up than anything. We've beaten better teams than them on the road (i.e. Tennessee) but lost to worse teams on the road as well (Toledo and South Florida). UMass and Idaho St are both basically guaranteed wins. That puts our floor at 7-5 and our ceiling at 8-4 with pretty close to equal chances of either outcome.
jreid191
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jreid191
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