Here's the lead MD on the Covid-19 outbreak for the US talking

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Mar 26, 2020
11:43:52am

The Old Y Truly Addicted User

Here's the lead MD on the Covid-19 outbreak for the US talking

about how many will get it. Reports of huge swaths of people getting it in the near future just isn't accurate. It's clickbait doom and gloom studies that don't tell the whole story. Or, at least that is how I read it.

Very important point from Dr. Birx 👇

Models with zero controls lead to inaccurate projections and unnecessary fear

"That is nowhere close to the numbers you see people putting out there. I think it has frightened the American people." pic.twitter.com/nZdM5fSpeW
— Elizabeth Harrington (@LizRNC) March 25, 2020

https://twitter.com/LizRNC/status/1242952507778912257

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The Old Y

Bio page: The Old Y
Joined: Apr 4, 2005
Last login: May 3, 2024
Total posts: 13,235 (179 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

If herd immunity is the thing that will bring this thing to a halt, is it a

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 6:54am

And if he needs hospitalization or spreads it to others?

vagabonder

3/26/20 6:56am

If he needs hospitalization, his theory is that it's best to get it early when

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 7:10am

Isn't the strain on health system suppose to be highest now, and better later?

Ryan M

3/26/20 7:40am

I thought the "flatten the curve" model was supposed to try to spread out

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 7:43am

I fear we are delaying the curve, not flattening it.

BYUtka

3/26/20 7:51am

This is the exact argument I've made.

VACOUGFAN

3/26/20 10:47am

Except that how often people are ignoring the govt guidance might actually

LaserCoug

3/26/20 11:08am

Possibly. On the other hand, at this point I'm thinking I'd rather wait to get

BlooGeek

3/26/20 11:19am

I agree. The rule followers might have an outbreak down the road but they might

LaserCoug

3/26/20 11:27am

I think the only thing that is certain is that no matter what the outcome is

BlooGeek

3/26/20 12:23pm

That’s why I do this when I’m out and about

maxpowers

3/26/20 6:59am

Holy crap this is actually a real thing

maxpowers

3/26/20 7:02am

Darwinism took a long break once our quality of life advanced to the point where

vagabonder

3/26/20 7:12am

The YouTuber who licked the toilet bowl got it, too.

3/26/20 7:22am

Lots a Darwin Award wannabes out there.

chilango

3/26/20 8:04am

The problem is if you run the math on herd immunity.

ReyOso

3/26/20 7:19am

I haven't run the math. Of course it's not my theory either. We did argue

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 7:23am

....but your math is fuzzy. You’re using 100% and not 70% of population

ORCoug

3/26/20 7:38am

"Fuzzy" is a very kind way to put it.

BYUtka

3/26/20 7:43am

You are thinking linearly, not exponentially.

Blue Ghost

3/26/20 8:07am

Coronavirus infection parties!

letthewookieewin

3/26/20 7:25am

Question with this is if once you've been exposed and not impacted, can you subsequently be re-exposed

unctoothman

3/26/20 7:30am

I have no idea. This guy is obviously assuming that once exposed, you're immune

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 7:41am

Could be a very big assumption

unctoothman

3/26/20 7:44am

It reportedly mutates.

SierraCoug

3/26/20 9:45am

On immunity

bythenumbers

3/26/20 8:26am

Thanks for posting

Northwest Cougar

3/26/20 8:49am

My argument is to get it while beds are available in case you are hospitalized.

Little Britches

3/26/20 8:27am

After reading nonstop about this virus and viruses in general for 2 weeks,

sanitarium

3/26/20 9:27am

What makes you think 40 to 80%? We don't have

The Old Y

3/26/20 9:40am

I'm not saying 40-80% are going to be infected in the next few months

sanitarium

3/26/20 9:53am

Here's the lead MD on the Covid-19 outbreak for the US talking

The Old Y

3/26/20 11:43am

Seems logical, but also incredibly selfish. If all "healthy" people decided to

BlooGeek

3/26/20 10:14am

On the other hand if everyone somehow avoids it

Northwest Cougar

3/26/20 10:18am

Right. I think that's why the goal is not eliminating spread, but slowing it and

BlooGeek

3/26/20 10:43am

Agreed. I'm just not convinced that the extra slowing is required. If "most"

Northwest Cougar

3/26/20 12:08pm

You may be correct, but do you want to be the Governor of the next NY & explain

BlooGeek

3/26/20 12:26pm

So you're saying he's an a** who doesn't care about others

PGCoug7

3/26/20 10:27am

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