1. Oklahoma had a lot of players enter the transfer portal after the Lincoln Riley story broke. They could be ranked below BYU.

2. Baylor Beat BYU. But a Baylor loss gives then 3, they would fall below BYU, but it could hurt as much as help. They chances of this happening are good.

3. Very good chance Cincy beats Houston, but this could be an upset.

4. Good chance Michigan beats Iowa

5. I think Ga needs to win Big and make Bama look overrated. I don't agree with you, but I think Ga could beat Bama big. But I think it is more likely for this to be a close game. This is the one that is least likely to happen.

6. Baylor needs to lose big and drop out of an NY-6 Bowl.

I would give BYU a 1/7 shot at getting an NY-6 Bowl. #3 and #5 are the least likely.