You have 8 possible (not probable, possible losses), and that's not counting @UMASS (and those long road trips were tough even for Bronco, like the loss to a 2-win UVA). 6-6 is your most likely record, but 5-7 or 4-8 aren't out of the realm of possibility, even with an improved offense. This year's schedule is tougher than last year's (at least, it should be).
Do you think if Kalani goes 5-7 with another USU loss he gets another year? I don't. Maybe if he's 5-7 with a loss to NIU but a win over USU, but he can't lose to the Aggies again and keep his job, IMO.