think, which makes it far less deadly (this is likely, since may carriers have been asymptomatic); or else it's just not as contagious as some had originally thought.

And the data is still very incomplete. Once tests are cheaper/faster, they should just test random samples of the population in order to have a better idea of how many people have it. Trying to do projections based off of incomplete testing of people who are very sick isn't going to be very effective.