Sign up, and CougarBoard will remember which categories you want to view. Sign up
Mar 31, 2020
12:12:48pm
Jingleheimer Playmaker
I think a random sample across a single population would teach us a lot

You don't have to dedicate a huge number of tests to this approach. Pull a random sample of 10-20K individuals where you test for current infections (identifying symptomatic and asymptomatic persons) as well as anti-bodies if that test is available yet (identifying persons who had it already but recovered) and have each complete a survey of their daily routines over the preceeding week and plans for the upcoming week. Re-test and survey everyone in the sample a week later. That testing would drastically increase our knowledge about the total infection rates as well as hospitalizations, mortality, etc., compared to using the "confirmed cases" numbers that are riddled with selection bias. Right now, our sole focus in testing is to react to the virus that's already infected someone for treatment purposes. That's not a bad thing, but it means we will continue shooting in the dark in terms of our policy response on this virus for quite a while.

Jingleheimer
Previous username
Nut'n'2Say
New username
(Private)
Bio page
Jingleheimer
Joined
Aug 15, 2009
Last login
Nov 1, 2023
Total posts
0 (0 FO)
Messages
Author
Time

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.