I belive we will see this virus run for 6-18 months. The isolation and shutdowns are only going to slow this down. It won't stop it. I also belive the "true" mortality rate is greater than 1%. I'm basing this on both Asia and Europe data. 

Everyone thinks Italy is over the hump because their cases have leveled off... I believe they have just temporarily slowed. Eventually it will work it's way south.. and into ALL parts of Italy. The North will be over it.. but then the south will deal with the same pain.. restrictions will loosen and then it runs again.