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Apr 5, 2020
11:36:51pm
johnnybyu All-American
As Csoul and other have stated exponential growth doesn’t maintain its growth.
Rate based on historical models. It slows down. This guy assumes it just keeps growing at the same rate. Europe has shown it slows down and the US is starting to. Italy and Spain are no longer doubling every few days but actually decreasing daily cases. The reasons behind this could be many herd immunity, better treatments,weakening strains, weather, mitigation factors etc..

I was hoping Csouls projections were close and after tracking Europe for the last few weeks I have a lot more confidence the hope is justified.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:36:51pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:39:27pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:40:38pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:41:06pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:42:40pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:43:13pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:44:00pm
Message modified by johnnybyu on Apr 5, 2020 at 11:48:41pm
johnnybyu
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johnnybyu
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