Apr 6, 2020
12:37:42am
12:37:42am
I think you have a fundamental misunderstanding of the model
The 2.2m deaths was based on no or delayed action.
With the effect of social distancing between 3/12 and 3/16, both the total number of people infected and the overall mortality rate is reduced (from the availability of ICU beds/respirators when people get critically ill).
The estimates of fatalities for both the US and UK changed because of a change in strategy.
With the effect of social distancing between 3/12 and 3/16, both the total number of people infected and the overall mortality rate is reduced (from the availability of ICU beds/respirators when people get critically ill).
The estimates of fatalities for both the US and UK changed because of a change in strategy.
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