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Jun 23, 2022
12:51:16pm
krindorr Truly Addicted User
Agreed, there's 5 options
  1. Run it back with basically the same core
    • Pros: Decent fan engagement, solid floor, near guarantee to make the playoff
    • Cons: We've seen the ceiling and Gobert/DM value will continue to decline.  Will be in luxury tax for 3rd year in a row so will pay repeater penalties
  2. Run it back with a slightly upgraded core
    • Pros: Adding someone with the full MLE, the Ingles trade exception or making some trades around the edges could maybe raise the ceiling?
    • Cons: Probably won't make a noticeable difference and tough to find good trades for most of these guys.  Will go way into luxury tax so would have insane tax penalties
  3. Trade one of Mitchell or Gobert
    • Pros: They don't seem to like one another, so maybe it gives some kind of fresh start or better fit?  Allows to build for the future
    • Cons: Trading either of those guys will likely not bring back the same level of current talent.  So it lowers the current floor/ceiling and wastes the talents of the other guy.  Also may have difficulty getting great value for either (DM is well-known to want out, Gobert is an awkward fit for most in the NBA)
  4. Trade BOTH of Mitchell and Gobert (largely for picks, future assets)
    • Pros: Gets tons of assets for the future in the hopes that we can find someone like ... Donovan Mitchell or Rudy Gobert.  Resets tax penalties.  Allows Jazz to start a Process-style rebuild that is inevitable anyway - just getting a jump start on it
    • Cons: Probably a non-starter with a new owner who already botched the rebrand and would be stigmatized for it. Aforementioned difficulty with trading these players
  5. Completely rebuild the team with trades by taking on high-risk players*
    • Pros:  Definitely raises the ceiling, allows to build for the future simultaneously.  High-risk players are generally castoffs from other teams and so could maximize value for Mitchell and Gobert.
    • Cons: Taking on high-risk types means that it could VERY easily come crashing down.  Loss of goodwill with fans by trading fan favorites.

*an example of Option 5 would be trading Gobert to the Nets for Simmons and 2 firsts, trading Conley and a 2nd (maybe a late 1st) to the Pacers for Brogdon and flipping Mitchell to the Hawks for John Collins and DeAndre Hunter.

The Jazz would have legitimate upside... but Brogdon and Simmons have both missed more games than they've played, so it would be a risk.  I don't hate this idea because it means the Jazz will either succeed or implode. Implosion isn't desirable, but it's better than the treadmill of pretty good.

Frankly, none of those options sound appealling.  That said, I tend to think options 4 and 5 might be the best.  They're at least being proactive.  Options 1 and 2 are hoping for a miracle and delaying the inevitable while paying huge luxury tax payments.  Option 3 though is the worst.  It's praying for a miracle while actively taking steps to make it harder.

krindorr
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krindorr
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Oct 5, 2020
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May 1, 2024
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6/23/22 9:24am
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6/23/22 9:25am
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6/23/22 10:09am

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