And how much would the Pac 12 contract shrink if it loses teams?

4 years from now is an eternity in this landscape. People are making a ton of assumptions about the next tv deal that may or may not be valid. There's four years to go where it's clearly better to be in the Big 12 financially. And there's a ton of scenarios where the Big 12 is more valuable than the Pac 12 in 2025 (and lots where the inverse is true).