blue bloods. I understand they would do well in a 2nd tier classification. That is your point, for the 5th time... I understand your point.
The counterpoint to that is that you are looking at things as they stand today (or in the past) and not realizing that Utah has HUGE advantages today that they wouldn't have in the future:
1. Utah built its success over the past 5-6 years because they have a lot more money than they did prior to joining the PAC12. They would lose that advantage (money is one of the biggest advantages a program can have).
2. Utah has also greatly benefited from having the brand and image of a P5 conference in their recruiting. If they are left out of the super conference that image and brand boost goes away and recruiting takes a hit with it.
With time the law of averages wins, without the money and prestige of being in the top tier of football schools Utah will slowly revert to the mean when comparing the lower-tier 2nd class schools vs the top tier blue blood schools.
I honestly think Utah is currently on a path to become a blue blood football program if time would allow it in the PAC12. It would take a long time but they are trending in that direction. But if the super conference situation happens then Utah is screwed and it throws all their progress toward becoming a blue blood program in the garbage. We will see what happens, it will be interesting to say the least.