Assuming fidelity if info provided in this thread(meaning I don’t care enough to verify anyone’s stated “facts”) lets run some numbers.
Vaccine cohort (n=?)
3936 VZV SAE’s over 28 years -> 140.5/yr
192 VZV related deaths in 28 years -> 6.85/yr
Non vaccine cohort (n=?)
11000 SAE a year (hospitalization is clearly an SAE)
105 deaths per year -> 105/yr
So... 105 vs 6.85 and 192 vs. 11000.
Is there a question?
Now, a word about the cohorts.
Assumptions: we are talking US numbers here.
CDC reports that 90.1% of children 19-35 months are vaccinated. Therefore I’d assume the N in the vaccinated group to be about 9 times that in the unvaccinated group.
I don’t know where you or your opponent got your data so I don’t know if we are talking children only, or if your data includes adult vaccinations like zostavax and prevnar or not. Nor do I know if his data includes adults only or children and adults.