Sign up, and you'll be able to customize your font size and more! Sign up
Feb 18, 2019
9:45:05am
StalwartBraveTrue All-American
Okay. Let’s run the numbers.
Assuming fidelity if info provided in this thread(meaning I don’t care enough to verify anyone’s stated “facts”) lets run some numbers.

Vaccine cohort (n=?)

3936 VZV SAE’s over 28 years -> 140.5/yr
192 VZV related deaths in 28 years -> 6.85/yr

Non vaccine cohort (n=?)
11000 SAE a year (hospitalization is clearly an SAE)
105 deaths per year -> 105/yr

So... 105 vs 6.85 and 192 vs. 11000.

Is there a question?

Now, a word about the cohorts.
Assumptions: we are talking US numbers here.
CDC reports that 90.1% of children 19-35 months are vaccinated. Therefore I’d assume the N in the vaccinated group to be about 9 times that in the unvaccinated group.
I don’t know where you or your opponent got your data so I don’t know if we are talking children only, or if your data includes adult vaccinations like zostavax and prevnar or not. Nor do I know if his data includes adults only or children and adults.
StalwartBraveTrue
Bio page
StalwartBraveTrue
Joined
Oct 18, 2011
Last login
Nov 26, 2023
Total posts
12,234 (12 FO)
Messages
Author
Time
2/18/19 2:51pm
2/18/19 7:00pm

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.