Apr 10, 2020
4:22:17am
4:22:17am
He's still closer than 2 million model without social distancing. Is that your
only complaint? That he predicted under 10K deaths? He even says in the link you supplied that...
"The precise number of people dying depends on (a) which virus strain got to the US first and (b)
how early people are being treated against severe complications (e.g., pneumonia). "
"but prolonging the epidemic may also have increased the number of deaths, because preventing exposure of young
people early on means that more of the elderly become infected before herd immunity is reached."
Are you discounting him simply because he threw out a number of 6K back on March 28th? But you aren't discounting Fauci's model that said 2 million without lock downs and 200K with a lock down? He still may very well be closer to the actual death toll than Fauci.
"The precise number of people dying depends on (a) which virus strain got to the US first and (b)
how early people are being treated against severe complications (e.g., pneumonia). "
"but prolonging the epidemic may also have increased the number of deaths, because preventing exposure of young
people early on means that more of the elderly become infected before herd immunity is reached."
Are you discounting him simply because he threw out a number of 6K back on March 28th? But you aren't discounting Fauci's model that said 2 million without lock downs and 200K with a lock down? He still may very well be closer to the actual death toll than Fauci.
Originally posted on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:22:17am
Message modified by 777 on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:23:44am
Message modified by 777 on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:23:56am
Message modified by 777 on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:27:47am
Message modified by 777 on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:28:21am
Message modified by 777 on Apr 10, 2020 at 4:29:41am
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