I'm not saying we'll only have 7K deaths, obviously we're approaching 20K right now. But I mean on whether the idea that current policies (i.e. shelter in place and distancing) are a better approach than letting nature take it's course for everyone besides the known high risk groups.

Herd immunity could have been very easily achieved among kids and college students by leaving day-cares, schools and colleges open because almost nobody under 25 dies from this disease and there very few are hospitalized in that group (hence our medical systems would not be over-run by people under 25 regardless of any public policy response). People in the 25-60 range that don't have the risk factors (obesity, diabetes, smoking, etc.) also weather this sickness fairly well overall and so selective shelter in place for this group could have sufficed, essentially keeping 90% of our economy open. People over 60 and younger individuals with risk factors should be strictly quarantined and assume everyone who is not quarantined has the virus for the next two months.

Instead of the approach above, we're taking the middle road with a hodgepodge of social distancing, shelter in place, mask policies, and we're not really protecting the high risk groups but infringing greatly on groups that simply don't need the protection.