I can't pin it down to a specific game or anything, but I have thought they had a quality team for some time.
Much of my confidence for us going into this game is how we have played vs some very good teams so far as well as our rating (and yours) according to Sagarin.
We are at #38, ECU is at # 63 right now. I would have assumed ECU would be higher than that based on the past, but I havent watched where you guys were rated by Sagarin in the past. I just noticed you guys won a lot of games and played tough vs some good teams.