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Mar 20, 2017
7:55:32pm
Dr T-bone All-American
Star rating system isn't perfect, but it is directionally correct
Long story short, the reason why so many players in the NFL, including the super bowl winning Patriots, have a load of 3 and 2 star players is because there are so many of them coming into college.

Just look at the 2016 pro-bowl - 44% of the pro-bowl players were 4 or 5 star players in college even though they typically only represent 9% of all recruits.

Meanwhile 3 stars account for 33% or pro bowl players, even though they represent 33% of recruits. So basically you are 4-5x more likely to be a pro-bowl player if you were a 4 or 5 star coming out of high school than if you were a 3 star.

Gets much worse with 2 star players - Compared to a 2 star a 5 star is 66x more likely to be a pro-bowl player than a 2 star player.
Dr T-bone
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taylorgpierce
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Dr T-bone
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May 1, 2024
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