early stages of 1 to 2, or 2 to 4, or even 16 to 32, doesn't mean that it will continue that way forever. It will reach an upper limit. At some point we would reach herd immunity, or the simple social distancing measures would work, or effective treatments would be found.
I am following the orders put in place around precautions with this sickness, but I do feel we freaked out and took this too far. I'm not convinced that eating at a restaurant, going to the movies, having sports continue in empty or partially filled stadiums would have significantly increased the number dead. I also certainly don't think we would have ever gotten to a point where 10s of thousands were dying per day, and then a week later 100s of thousands dying per day because exponential growth.
Famous last words maybe, but ultimately all we had on the virus side was projections based on worst case scenario. We now have hard data on the economic side that 3,000,000 unemployment claims were put in last week. That blows past any high ever in the history of this country. We may have just done terrible damage to the culture of small business in this country by taking too drastic of measures too quickly. Small business fuels the American dream, and if we lose that part of our culture who knows where we end up.