Sep 30, 2022
11:18:19am
Cougzilla Playmaker
Updated Kalani era offense vs defense
Evaluation criteria
Offense should score 24 or more
Defense should hold teams to 24 or less
Team win = both sides succeeded
Team loss = both sides failed
Defensive win/Offensive loss = defense succeeded and offense failed
Offensive win/Defensive loss = offense succeeded and defense failed

If the defense scores a touchdown, they add those points to the amount of points they can give up. For example, if the defense scores a pick 6 they can now give up 31 points before it will be considered a defensive loss.

If the offense turns the ball over in field goal range it automatically add 3 points to the amount they need to score in order for the game to count as an offensive win. If a field goal is scored those points are not added to the defensive point total for success

If the offense throws a pick 6 that will add 7 more points to their point total to be successful.

24 was chosen at the baseline metric because the average scoring offense in college scores 27 points per game. We average about 1 less possessions per game than the average team so I am spotting the offense 3 points compensate for the 1 less possession.

Not sure how to incorporate overtimes as teams are already in scoring position when they get the ball.

Would love a suggestion on how to incorporate non scoring turnovers. (See WVU game in 2016)



Kalani era


2016
6 team wins - Mich st, Miss st, SUU, UMASS, Ut st, Wyo
2 defensive wins - AZ, Cincinnati
1 offensive win - Toledo
3 offensive losses - Utah, UCLA, Boise st(byu d scored 2 touchdowns)
1 Defensive loss - WVU - this one could be debated to be a team loss - BYU O had 4 TO and BYU D had 2 take aways.

2017
2 team wins - SJ st, UNLV
2 defensive wins - Port st, Hawaii
4 team losses - LSU, Wisconsin, Miss st, ECU
5 offensive losses - Utah st(17 direct TO points), Utah, Boise st, Fresno st, UMASS

2018
7 Team wins - AZ, Wisconsin, McNeese, Hawaii, UMASS, New Mex st, Western Mich
3 Team losses - Washington, Utah st, Utah
3 offensive losses - Cal, NIU, Boise st

2019
4 Team wins- liberty, Idaho st, UMASS, Utah st
3 Offensive wins - Tennessee, USC, Boise st
2 team losses - Toledo(debatable, could be O loss), Washington,
3 Offensive losses - USF, SDSU, Utah
1 Defensive loss - Hawaii

2020
10 Team wins - navy, Troy, LA Tech, UTSA, Texas st, WKU, Boise st, north Alabama, SDSU, UCF
1 offensive win - Houston
1 offensive loss - Coastal Carolina(oooh the controversy!)

2021
6 team wins - AZ, Utah, ASU, Utah st, Idaho st, Georgia southern
3 Offensive wins - USF, Virginia, USC
1 defensive win - Washington st
1 offensive loss - Boise st
2 defensive losses - Baylor, UAB

2022 to date
4 team wins - USF, Baylor, Wyoming, Ut st
1 team loss - Oregon


Totals
Overall record 52-30
Team wins - 39
Offensive wins - 8
Defensive wins - 5
Team losses - 10
Offensive losses - 16
Defensive losses - 4


Discuss

Edited the Boise 2021 game to an offensive loss. Offense is responsible for 3 of the points on one of their turnovers since they turned it over in field goal range for Boise.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Sep 30, 2022 at 11:18:19am
Message modified by Cougzilla on Sep 30, 2022 at 11:27:14am
Message modified by Cougzilla on Oct 1, 2022 at 6:21:49pm
Message modified by Cougzilla on Oct 1, 2022 at 6:26:23pm
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