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Jun 6, 2023
3:02:17pm
Scratch All-American
Here you go, enjoy the reading.
https://ww2.amstat.org/mam/2010/essays/PasteurPredictive.pdf

No one worth their salt is assuming superiority or weighing conference or team expectations in final results; that would defeat the entire purpose of computer models.

Like I said, here's the main take away:

Start each season with teams having unequal ratings, based on results from the previous season, to improve early-season predictions, but diminish the effects of the initial inequalities as more games are played.

Eventually the initial inequalities are fully removed.
Scratch
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Scratch
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6/6/23 3:22pm

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