evidence. Don't tell me. Show me.
You have a graph that shows that for a single demographic we have seen a reduction in enrollment. We are talking about 200 total students here. So show me the data that tells the story you are telling. Show me that you have a basis for your conclusion.
You've asserted substantial experience in this arena. Demonstrate that you are doing an actual analysis and not shooting from the hip. Because the latter is borderline libelous.